Starmer Resigns, Long Live PM Burnham !
Maybe I should have said Burnham would be PM by the end of the summer rather than end of this year. I was not expecting Starmer to resign without even a fight, but having seen his boxing credentials I should have known.
Is it a guarantee that Andy Burnham will win Labour leadership? Yes, it is a definite guarantee. As far as I can see it. He comes with Blair’s seal of a approval. Read Tony Blair’s article on 26th of May to understand the future Labour government’s approach:
Blair has long understood the gameplan of delivering your preferred government reforms through a centrist approach but that it takes a strong character to deliver the centrist position rather than a centrist character. To many that sounds counter intuitive but in the world of politics only a strong leader with a clear policy vision can deliver stability which is what centrism represents. It is not about not having an opinion on anything that makes a centrist, but being able to take views and opinions from all angles and distilling it and shaping it with your policy vision which doesn’t push everyone off the edge.
Burnham will be place to deliver this below as best he can:
He continues on to say the following:
The Radical Centre starts from the proposition that governing in the age of AI will be the principal challenge. And opportunity. The route to economic prosperity and social justice. Here is what such an agenda might look like.
1. The private sector will go through a process of adaptation to this new AI world and, therefore, business and entrepreneurs need to know government is on their side, removing obstacles to business growth – not creating them as they go through this massive process of adjustment. So, all those measures I described above which hold business back should be corrected or mitigated.
2. We need a transformative programme for planning reform and deregulation. The planning system in Britain is an abomination. The government has taken significant steps, but well short of a truly radical reform.
3. We must prioritise cheaper energy and electrification over net zero and use what is left of our North Sea oil and gas resources. This is essential for our competitiveness and for taking advantage of AI.
4. We should create a major new partnership with the private and voluntary sectors for apprenticeships and training – not just for the young and unemployed, but for the existing workforce whose jobs will be affected by AI and who need to learn AI adoption. Build on and not dilute the education reforms for schools started under New Labour and continued under the Conservatives. And keep our universities strong because they’re critical to the technology economy. This is the key to extending opportunity and wealth, even more than it was in 1997.
5. ‘Reindustrialising’ the north of the country can be encouraged by government giving incentives and help but most of all it will come through first-class infrastructure, education, freedom from bureaucracy, and government working in partnership with the private sector and with the forward-facing part of the trade-union movement. And with a broad definition of ‘industry’ if we want to create jobs because much of future manufacturing will likely be done by robots, though there will be also major opportunities in areas requiring a high degree of traditional skills.
6. A plan for fundamental reform, over time, of welfare. By the end of this decade, we could be spending more on incapacity and disability benefits than on defence. No serious country can do that. Mental-health spending has exploded over the past five or six years. The system at points incentivises people not to work. The triple lock is unaffordable long term. All of this is horribly hard, but the British people know, deep down, the necessity of doing it. If the Conservative Party repeats its offer of working together on welfare, Labour should accept the offer.
7. The NHS needs not NHS reform but whole-system health-care reform. Moving from cure to prevention. Mixing private and public provision in a fundamental realignment of the two. Reorganising the delivery of health care, for example making weight-loss drugs and other preventative products widely available. Getting rid of all the old shibboleths which have turned the NHS into a point of theological principle rather than a modern service where the transformative power of technology alters its foundations.
8. Take effective – i.e. ‘whatever it takes’ – action to solve the illegal immigration issue. The home secretary is right in believing that solving this issue is critical and has completely changed in nature since 2007. Solving it is pre-conditional to getting the British people to listen to bigger arguments about the future. We should deal by whatever means with small boats but recognise the necessity of targeted immigration in certain sectors for economic growth and be unashamed to advocate it.
9. Most important of all, reorganising the whole of government around the harnessing of the 21st-century technological revolution. All governments for the foreseeable future will govern in the age of AI. Those which understand it will see their countries prosper; those which don’t, won’t. This is literally the challenge across all sectors including welfare and health (digital ID is just one, though vital, part of it). It will define the future of the British economy which, ironically, has a powerful position in technology but one we’re in danger of squandering.
10. Our aim, for the long term, should be a Reimagined State in which taxes and spending can be lower, productivity higher and government seen as enabling not directing, with political consensus behind such a radical restructuring of the state.
Alongside this policy agenda would come a wholesale reconfiguration of government. Not civil-service retraining, but a new cadre of workforce, with the specialist technical skills necessary to do systemic change. Departments effectively run by ministers not exclusively from the ranks of Parliament if they have the necessary experience and capability in change management, with special provision for them to be accountable.
Without an agenda of this nature, radical but sensible, Britain will continue its long slide towards relegation from the Premier League of nations.
The Power of Centrism is a materialistic world:
All of what has been said by Tony Blair would be appealing to the majority of the British public apart from the online bubble who has a sizeable representation in real public as well but not enough to even win a by-election. At least not yet. And till that time you have to lay the ground works.
This is something perhaps Reform has understood for a while now. And this is why they have veered towards centrism aggressively in order to garner the support of the majority of the voting public. But they have lacked a coherent policy vision. All they are interested is getting in power, and once in power they will not know what to do apart from being told what to do by the civil service. It will represent the duplication of 14 years of Tory failures. But electorally they will make better headwinds than Tories or any other party on the political right, like Restore Britain. Because of the voting public.
This is why I was very unsure about Restore challenging Reform in Makerfield by-election. Because for me, Burnham becoming PM is a lifeline to Labour party that they did not deserve. This is a chance for Labour to follow the guidelines of Blair more closely and hoodwink the public once again by proxy. And unfortunately the public will fall for it. Some of you might say, the Tories failed again and again with their leadership changes, why do you think it won’t be the same for Labour? Tories did not have a king or a grand vizier to guide them back to winning ways when they faltered. Blair is not their natural king even though they followed his edicts they couldn’t openly do so nor get his approval. But Blair is a natural king to Labour, and he will pave the way for their vision of success when Burnham gets into power.
Unfortunately, our world has become increasingly materialistic. And for all the online world shouting about the younger generation becoming Christian that doesn’t translate to right wing politics because they either fail to understand or choose to ignore that many liberals are Anglicans. But both sides of this doesn’t matter as faith is not triumphing materialism and it won’t do so unless there isn’t any worth material to be precious about. And this is where the centrism push comes from, from both the left and right. You cannot make people see your way unless you entice them with materialistic stability. Economy as they all shout because economy is what all anyone cares about. What is in it for me. While the radicals on both the left and right shout, burn it all down, burn it all, make the material irrelevant so that a new day may be born.
To the heart of old, connected to soul of these lands and her people, a radical change with maximum sacrifice might sound the only obvious choice. To the majority of the public who have lost all faith and who have sold their soul for a pittance to the enjoyment of now, that is more scary than a lifetime of servitude to a globalist overlord. They rather lose their identity than lose their gold coins. And you cannot bring change unless you have the people who are willing to take the burden of sacrifice needed.
What do I think about Restore Britain and the online right?
So, what am I saying here then? Am I changing my mind over political parties and policies? No, absolutely not. What I am saying once again is that it is a long game and if you want radical change you should play it as a long game. Trying to push for people to give up something for maximum loss is not going to work right now beyond the few online who mainly do it for virtue signalling bravado because you are sure to get their gofundme pages the moment they face the slightest bit of discomfort. The funding for the political right is not there in any organised way as there is for those on political left.
Play the long game and stop fighting for the now. Pave your way for future success and pace your efforts accordingly. Learn to sacrifice appropriately in the now to earn success for your future generations.
We don’t have enough time because of demographic change? Yes, of course. But you can’t win that battle immediately. There is no real way in the real world where you will change that immediately. Online influencers who have never worked in an organisation at any level of significance let alone within any form of government neither understand how it works nor are able to deliver on any of their emotional outbursts online. Am I relishing the fact that it cannot happen? No. I am just stating that it cannot. You are not going to deport every one immediately, and it won’t fix the core issues anyway. Many on the radical right understand they won’t be able to do it as well, which is why they are pushing the country towards civil war. This is something the radical Islamists are doing as well on the other side, and so are the radical Leftists. They all know that this is the only way they will get into power and be able to do what they want. Although what they want will never be delivered as they wish it would be and what most definitely will be delivered is violence and destruction.
Emotional thinking, emotional arguments, emotional politics equals unhinged violent and destructive outcomes. Many don’t seem to understand the consequences of what they propose. They are playing with fire that has never touched their hands before. All they will end up doing is either destroying it all or completely giving the narrative away to the globalist centrists, and that is where I see the future headed anyway if this continues. Without sensible agents of change the victory is given to those with a plan, any plan.
What the political right should have been focused towards, those who want change, is for a victory of centrist right in the immediate through whom radical changes of the political right could be influenced. Pushing the agenda enough in the right way so the immediate concerns of demographic changes can be slowed down, till enough influence has been garnered. Both on the left and right. Stop the boats, get rid of the illegals, and change welfarism. And then keep pushing from there on. Although there is a danger with this as well, that if you give people the minimum change, they will accept it as maximum change and would desire no more. But that is where you keep pushing the agenda. This is what I expected from parties like Restore Britain, Advance UK, and SDP. Plan for the future.
However, instable emotional outbursts from Advance UK seem to have ended their operations as a political party, although going into policy activism might make them more useful. Restore Britain seem to have been too influenced by their impatient youth who wants everything now. They are fighting in the now, which means they are fighting Reform. Trying to kill off centrist right before it even has power will result in centrist left winning and consolidating their power. They are fighting too soon in the now. They should have worked more to weaken Reform before attacking them if they wanted to be serious contenders in the next general election but for me what they have shown now to the public is that a vote for Restore is a definite vote for Labour, as there is no other serious contender to Labour other than Reform. That is me who doesn’t agree with or support Reform saying it. With a heavily polarised landscape tactical voting is needed and it shouldn’t just be utilised by the political left.
On top of that Restore itself is giving off mixed messages; between their activism base and leadership base. If this continues then people will vote Reform to vote against Labour, some of those who would have voted for Reform will vote for Restore, but many will just not come out to vote because they won’t see the point of it without a clear vision presented to them. And there is also every possibility of Restore and even Reform imploding if they keep counter signalling each other so strongly rather than focusing on themselves. What I don’t want from Restore is for them to just become rabble rousers and be dismissed as such. This is why it is important for them to play the long game correctly. Although they have amassed so much of the online and emotional activist support base that I don’t know if they can play the long game anymore with ease.
Whereas SDP whom I support in all of it unfortunately factors in very less because they are too sensible for an overly emotional public. For me the only way a Restore project can gain proper foothold in the immediate and win in the long term is if they merged themselves with SDP, putting Clouston as deputy, to have the old heads guiding the young a bit better than the current emotional and outrage rousing of their online and new media influencers. I don’t know if this will ever happen but I would have liked to see it happen. And this isn’t about “how many members does SDP have” situation, the size of the membership is irrelevant, it is how many learned hands are required to steady the ship and guide it towards true north.
So, what do I think will happen?
This is regardless of whether I want it to happen or not. Starmer has already resigned. Burnham will become PM, and will start implementing some of Blair’s points and move to stabilise the economy. Net zero craziness will be eased. There will be some form of activity around illegal migrants and their processing which will anger both the left and right radicals for different reasons.
6-12 months following Burnham becoming PM, there will be a serious consideration to the merger between Reform and Tories. They will be scared that the centrist position will be masterminded by Blair for Labour hence betraying their trust in him and they will want it for themselves. They will merge, maybe they will have a leadership contest as merged entity and Farage will be the new establishment opposition leader vying to become the establishment right centrist.
As a last ditch effort to thwart the merger of Reform and Tories, Labour new PM Burnham before the elections will propose taking the “Citizens Advance” proposal seriously to win votes from key demographics away from Reformed Tories. The “Citizens Advance” proposal is to receive a lump sum of £12,500 now in exchange for delaying your pension payouts. They will wrap this as a policy of growth for the young people, and it will most definitely win them the next elections. They don’t even have to go through with it but propose it in their mandate for 2029 elections. Unless their is a strong counter from Reformed Tories, which proposes “Citizens Advance” as well as increasing the tax allowance threshold by at least 30%.
This is the sweet and short of it. The 2029 General Election will still be the Establishment Game in Britain. Those who want change in the future should be playing for narrow points of influence that can be expanded with time, and in doing so concentrating their efforts to build political strongholds both geographically and in parliament. Put the egos aside, stop playing emotional politics, and become a bit savvy. Does Restore Britain’s Rape Gang Enquiry changes anything? Unfortunately not much. The same public who didn’t give a toss about those girls over years and years, and whose indifference enabled the monsters taken advantage, will once again turn a blind eye towards the enquiry in a couple of months if not sooner. This is the sad reality.