If UK wants to replicate a victory like Trump's then the political right really need to get their act together. The Tories were the best vehicle to achieve this and if they had chosen Jenrick then there was some momentum that could have been built. They shot themselves in the foot by electing Kemi, who doesn't connect with the public.
So, what then? Nothing against any of the smaller parties but none of them are going to make any dent in 2029. So people can either punish both Labour and Tories and themselves as well, and vote for Liberal Democrats - this is very possible. Or Reform can get their act together and stop pushing their own voter base away to appease their liberal metropolitan chums, unite the right. I do not think this happens, unless Farage leaves the party. Weird right. Not so weird. He is stuck in his ways. Him and Tice, have to either change their ways or they need to get out of the way. Stop this whole party chairman and locking leadership away from party members malarkey, and let the capable people get on with it.
If I was him, I would have remained an MP, stepped down as party leader, had conversations with Jenrick, and coaxed him and all the others who were strongly in favour of his conservative ideas, to join up. And the best way to coax them would have been by giving the party leadership to Jenrick. This still is the best move you can make right now in UK politics to ignite the political right. Alongside paying proper attention to the local democracy and building from ground up. This would also result in many many more local councillors shifting from Tories to Reform. For all this to happen, the ego needs to die first, and the old guard has to step aside. I don't care about the puritanical views of certain public in this matter, there are no saints in politics, and democracy isn't done by absolutes. This move would have done the trick - if it was chosen before Jenrick accepted the new post, it would have been a guaranteed trick.
I presented you with that scenario now. We all know it won't happen because of the various personalities their stubbornness and their inability to come together united in times of crisis. So, what is likely to happen then. Well, what I wrote before:
1. Low voter turnout for next elections again
2. Lib Dems to gain even further seats - possibly be in coalition to form government
3. Labour not to have runaway majority within a minority voter turnout but enough to win again on their own or coalition with Lib Dems.
4. Reform - all depends on how long Farage remains interested - 10 seats at best
5. Smaller parties gain scattered one or two seats
6. Independents gain more ground - especially the Islamists creating political strongholds
7. Tories unable to do much better and go through another leadership contest
8. Tories and Labour continue to play identity politics with each other
9. Nothing in the country changes unless for the worse
10. I become even more uninterested in it all as the needs of the public keep getting ignored
Things will have to get incredibly bad for the next 10 or 20 years before a proper right wing party takes hold and turn the situation around. Depending on how bad the situation gets, and how disinterested talented people become in that time and end up leaving the country. We could end going the Greek way. Once a great nation, than an okay nation riding on its past for a while, then a vassal state of another. May that never happen to Britain.
This is probably my most optimistic and pessimistic predictions rolled into one. There are many solutions and warnings here. Many turns that can go one way or another. But first - the ego must die - pet project must be put to one side - lesser minds to accept their incapability and step aside - and the cream be allowed to rise to the top. Otherwise. Well. You know.
Wishing the best for our UK Friends, Always in our prayers 🙏.